Monday, May 17, 2010

Rand Paul up 52% to 34% over Trey Grayson in nuanced Kentucky Senate primary

Raleigh, N.C. – Fueled by a high level of unhappiness with the direction of the
Republican Party, Rand Paul appears to be poised for an easy victory over Trey Grayson
in Tuesday's Kentucky Senate primary. He leads PPP's final poll 52-34.

There are more Republicans planning to vote on Tuesday (41%) who are unhappy with
the current direction of their party than ones who are happy with it (36%). Among those
discontented folks Paul has a staggering 59-28 lead which more than offsets the 47-45
lead Grayson has with the voters who think the party's current course is fine.

A Paul victory will be a clear signal that Kentucky Republicans want the party to move
further to the right. 32% of likely primary voters think that the party is too liberal and
Paul has a 71-21 advantage with them that accounts for almost his entirely polling lead.

With the other 68% of voters who don't think the party's too liberal Paul is ahead only 45-
41.

What a Paul victory will not be is a sign that Kentucky Republicans want Mitch
McConnell to go. 64% of voters think the winner of the primary should vote for
McConnell as the GOP leader in the Senate to only 18% who say no. Even among Paul
voters there is 58/22 support for keeping the state's senior Senator in his current
leadership position.

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